Expectation of Freshman Retention Rate at University of Guam Based on Data Analysis: A Case Study

As students begin their college journey, most look at each college’s retention rate as a measure of quality. The University of Guam (UOG) provides quality education for students in the Pacific region. For the past 8 years, UOG’s retention rate has surpassed the USA’s average retention rate for Title IV postsecondary institutions. Recently, UOG ranked in the Top 100 Best Regional Universities in the West by U.S. News & World Report. Due to these achievements, UOG’s retention rate should be a clear reflection of the university’s quality. This report uses the Enhanced Stenger Method (or Extended SINC Methods) for nonlinear data patterns and employed the Simplest Nonlinear Analytic Data Function to predict UOG’s retention rate for the next 5 years and compares UOG’s retention rate to the average retention rate for Title IV postsecondary institutions in the USA